Back to gamesfast paceOUTPROBABLE
Houston Astros @ New York Yankees
1:05 PM EDTYankee Stadium
Spread
-1.5
Total
9.5
Pace Outlook
fast
AI Prediction
3.5/10 confidenceNYY Win
84%
HOU Win
23%
Spread Lean
NYY (53%)
Total 9.5
OVER (75%)
Key Factors
Astros missing Yordan Alvarez (Left oblique strain)
Yankees offense rated 112.5 vs Astros defense at 106.1
Fast pace expected — more possessions, higher scoring
Sunny, 65°F, wind blowing out to center at 10 mph
Day game after night game — fatigue factor for both clubs
1 key injury — net spread shift of -3.5 points
Yordan Alvarez (OUT) — Left oblique strain: ~3.5pt impact on spread
Model spread: -2Model total: 223.5Spread edge: +0.5
HOU — Houston Astros
Record: 26-18
Off Rating
110.7
Def Rating
106.1
Pace
0
NYY — New York Yankees
Record: 28-16
Off Rating
112.5
Def Rating
105.2
Pace
0
Environment Notes
- Sunny, 65°F, wind blowing out to center at 10 mph
- Day game after night game — fatigue factor for both clubs
- Highest over/under on the MLB slate
Risk Notes
Wind out to center inflates fly ball distances significantlyDay game after night game means potential lineup rest for veteransBoth offenses rank top-3 in slugging percentage
Top 3 Props for This Game
No props available for this game
Injury Report
HOU Injuries (1)
Yordan Alvarez
DH | hou
Left oblique strain
Impact:HIGH
Expected return: 10-14 days
NYY Injuries (1)
Giancarlo Stanton
DH | nyy
Left knee soreness (maintenance)
Impact:LOW
Expected return: Expected to play
All Props (0)
No props available
