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Seattle Mariners @ Houston Astros

8:10 PM EDTMinute Maid Park
average pace

Spread

-1.5

Total

8

Pace Outlook

average

AI Prediction

6.5/10 confidence

HOU Win

85%

SEA Win

8%

Spread Lean

HOU (78%)

Total 8

OVER (75%)

Key Factors

Astros missing Yordan Alvarez (Left oblique strain)
Astros offense rated 110.7 vs Mariners defense at 103.4
Retractable roof closed, 72°F controlled environment
Minute Maid Park Crawford Boxes favor pull hitters

1 key injury — net spread shift of +3.5 points

Yordan Alvarez (OUT) — Left oblique strain: ~3.5pt impact on spread

Model spread: -14Model total: 222Spread edge: +12.6

SEASeattle Mariners

Record: 23-21

Off Rating

105.2

Def Rating

103.4

Pace

0

HOUHouston Astros

Record: 26-18

Off Rating

110.7

Def Rating

106.1

Pace

0

Environment Notes

  • Retractable roof closed, 72°F controlled environment
  • Minute Maid Park Crawford Boxes favor pull hitters
  • Astros 18-6 at home this season

Risk Notes

Mariners pitching-heavy roster may suppress Astros batsCrawford Boxes inflate HR counts for right-handed pull hittersHouston bullpen fresh after two off-days

Top 3 Props for This Game

No props available for this game

Injury Report

SEA Injuries (0)

No injuries

HOU Injuries (1)

Yordan Alvarez

DH | hou

OUT

Left oblique strain

Impact:HIGH

Expected return: 10-14 days

All Props (0)

No props available

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