Back to gamesslow paceOUTQUESTIONABLE
San Diego Padres @ Los Angeles Dodgers
10:10 PM EDTDodger Stadium
Spread
-1.5
Total
7.5
Pace Outlook
slow
AI Prediction
4.4/10 confidenceLAD Win
95%
SD Win
8%
Spread Lean
LAD (66%)
Total 7.5
OVER (75%)
Key Factors
Padres missing Fernando Tatis Jr. (Right hamstring strain)
Dodgers offense rated 118.3 vs Padres defense at 106.8
Slow pace expected — grind-it-out game, lower scoring
Partly cloudy, 71°F, calm winds
Dodger Stadium plays neutral to slightly pitcher-friendly
1 key injury — net spread shift of -3.5 points
Fernando Tatis Jr. (OUT) — Right hamstring strain: ~3.5pt impact on spread
Model spread: -6Model total: 223.5Spread edge: +4.3
SD — San Diego Padres
Record: 25-19
Off Rating
109.6
Def Rating
106.8
Pace
0
LAD — Los Angeles Dodgers
Record: 31-13
Off Rating
118.3
Def Rating
102.8
Pace
0
Environment Notes
- Partly cloudy, 71°F, calm winds
- Dodger Stadium plays neutral to slightly pitcher-friendly
- NL West rivalry — sold-out crowd expected
Risk Notes
Two elite pitching staffs could suppress offenseLow total suggests tight, low-scoring gamePadres bullpen has been overworked this week
Top 3 Props for This Game
No props available for this game
Injury Report
SD Injuries (1)
Fernando Tatis Jr.
RF | sd
Right hamstring strain
Impact:HIGH
Expected return: 2-3 weeks
LAD Injuries (1)
Mookie Betts
SS | lad
Left elbow inflammation
Impact:HIGH
Expected return: Game-time decision
All Props (0)
No props available
