Baltimore Orioles @ New York Yankees

7:05 PM EDTYankee Stadium

average pace

Spread

-1.5

Total

8.5

Pace Outlook

average

AI Prediction

3.5/10 confidence

NYY Win

66%

BAL Win

34%

Spread Lean

NYY (54%)

Total 8.5

OVER (75%)

Key Factors

Yankees offense rated 112.5 vs Orioles defense at 104.1

Clear skies, 62°F, wind blowing out to right field at 8 mph

Yankee Stadium short porch favors left-handed hitters

Model spread: -2.5Model total: 225Spread edge: +0.8

BAL — Baltimore Orioles

Record: 29-15

Off Rating

114.8

Def Rating

104.1

Pace

NYY — New York Yankees

Record: 28-16

Off Rating

112.5

Def Rating

105.2

Pace

Environment Notes

Clear skies, 62°F, wind blowing out to right field at 8 mph
Yankee Stadium short porch favors left-handed hitters
Division rivalry — both teams fighting for AL East lead

Risk Notes

Bullpen game risk if starters exit earlyShort porch inflates HR totals but suppresses doublesLate-inning defensive replacements could limit late ABs for stars

Top 3 Props for This Game

No props available for this game

Injury Report

BAL Injuries (1)

Gunnar Henderson

SS | bal

QUESTIONABLE

Lower back tightness

Impact:MEDIUM

Expected return: Game-time decision

NYY Injuries (1)

Giancarlo Stanton

DH | nyy

PROBABLE

Left knee soreness (maintenance)

Impact:LOW

Expected return: Expected to play

All Props (0)

No props available