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Milwaukee Bucks @ Phoenix Suns

8:00 PM EDTFootprint Center
fast pace

Spread

-2.5

Total

228

Pace Outlook

fast

AI Prediction

3.5/10 confidence

PHX Win

90%

MIL Win

17%

Spread Lean

PHX (53%)

Total 228

OVER (67%)

Key Factors

Bucks missing Cameron Brooks (Left hamstring strain)
Suns offense rated 116.9 vs Bucks defense at 110.3
Fast pace expected — more possessions, higher scoring
High-scoring matchup expected
Suns 6-4 at home in last 10

1 key injury — net spread shift of -3.5 points

Cameron Brooks (OUT) — Left hamstring strain: ~3.5pt impact on spread

Model spread: -3.5Model total: 233.5Spread edge: +0.8

MILMilwaukee Bucks

Record: 46-24

Off Rating

117.6

Def Rating

110.3

Pace

99.4

PHXPhoenix Suns

Record: 44-26

Off Rating

116.9

Def Rating

113.2

Pace

101.1

Environment Notes

  • High-scoring matchup expected
  • Suns 6-4 at home in last 10
  • Both teams in playoff positioning battles

Risk Notes

Pace could inflate counting stats across the boardBoth teams play small-ball lineups that allow threes

Top 3 Props for This Game

#1

Cameron Blake

blocks | MIL

77Strong

Line

0.5

Projection

0.8

UNDER
#2

Jamal Foster

threes | MIL

75Strong

Line

1

Projection

2

OVER
#3

Darius King

pts+reb+ast | PHX

61Moderate

Line

51

Projection

51.6

OVER

Injury Report

MIL Injuries (1)

Cameron Brooks

SG | mil

OUT

Left hamstring strain

Impact:HIGH

Expected return: 7-10 days

PHX Injuries (0)

No injuries

All Props (41)

PlayerTypeLineProjectionLeanConfidence
Cameron BlakeBlocks0.50.8UNDER77Strong
Jamal Foster3-Pointers Made12OVER75Strong
Darius KingPoints + Rebounds + Assists5151.6OVER61Moderate
Darius KingPoints + Assists4039.3UNDER60Moderate
Jamal FosterPoints15.515.8OVER58Weak
Rashad ThompsonPoints + Assists2424.5OVER58Weak
Cameron BlakePoints2222.4OVER57Weak
Darius KingBlocks1.51.6UNDER57Weak
Darius KingPoints + Rebounds4545.7OVER57Weak
Kobe RichardsonSteals11.3UNDER56Weak
Kobe RichardsonPoints + Assists35.536OVER55Weak
Jamal FosterRebounds33.4OVER55Weak
Darius KingRebounds12.512.3OVER55Weak
Darius KingAssists65.9UNDER55Weak
Rashad ThompsonAssists4.54.7UNDER55Weak
Rashad Thompson3-Pointers Made2.52.6OVER54Weak
Isaiah WrightPoints1414.6OVER54Weak
Cameron BlakeRebounds7.58OVER53Weak
Cameron BlakePoints + Rebounds3131.3OVER53Weak
Rashad ThompsonRebounds54.5OVER53Weak
Rashad ThompsonPoints + Rebounds2424.3OVER52Weak
Kobe RichardsonPoints30.529.8UNDER51Weak
Kobe RichardsonAssists6.56.2UNDER51Weak
Kobe RichardsonPoints + Rebounds3434.7OVER51Weak
Kobe RichardsonPoints + Rebounds + Assists40.540.9OVER51Weak
Rashad ThompsonPoints1919.8OVER49Weak
Kobe RichardsonRebounds5.54.9UNDER48Weak
Darius KingPoints3433.5OVER48Weak
Isaiah WrightRebounds10.510OVER48Weak
Isaiah WrightAssists1.51.6UNDER48Weak
Cameron BlakePoints + Assists27.527.1UNDER46Weak
Jamal FosterAssists9.59UNDER45Weak
Rashad ThompsonSteals1.51.5UNDER45Weak
Cameron BlakeSteals11.1UNDER44Weak
Isaiah WrightBlocks32.4UNDER44Weak
Cameron Blake3-Pointers Made21.6OVER43Weak
Darius KingSteals21.1UNDER43Weak
Cameron BlakeAssists4.53.9UNDER41Weak
Darius King3-Pointers Made21.5OVER41Weak
Kobe Richardson3-Pointers Made53.8UNDER40Weak
Jamal FosterSteals2.51.6UNDER40Weak
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