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Los Angeles Lakers @ Boston Celtics

8:00 PM EDTTD Garden
average pace

Spread

-4.5

Total

224.5

Pace Outlook

average

AI Prediction

3.7/10 confidence

BOS Win

76%

LAL Win

31%

Spread Lean

LAL (69%)

Total 224.5

OVER (75%)

Key Factors

Lakers missing DeAndre Washington (Right shoulder impingement)
Celtics offense rated 119.2 vs Lakers defense at 112.4
National TV game (ESPN)
Celtics 8-2 in last 10 at home

1 key injury — net spread shift of -3.5 points

DeAndre Washington (DOUBTFUL) — Right shoulder impingement: ~3.5pt impact on spread

Model spread: 0Model total: 236.5Spread edge: -4.4

LALLos Angeles Lakers

Record: 42-28

Off Rating

115.8

Def Rating

112.4

Pace

100.2

BOSBoston Celtics

Record: 52-18

Off Rating

119.2

Def Rating

108.1

Pace

98.6

Environment Notes

  • National TV game (ESPN)
  • Celtics 8-2 in last 10 at home
  • Lakers on 2nd night of back-to-back

Risk Notes

High-profile game may see inflated linesLakers fatigue factor from B2B travelCeltics may rest starters in 4th if blowout

Top 3 Props for This Game

#1

Devon Harris

blocks | BOS

79Strong

Line

0.5

Projection

1.2

OVER
#2

Devin Marshall

steals | LAL

76Strong

Line

0.5

Projection

1.1

OVER
#3

Jaylen Carter

blocks | LAL

69Moderate

Line

0.5

Projection

0.8

UNDER

Injury Report

LAL Injuries (1)

DeAndre Washington

PF | lal

DOUBTFUL

Right shoulder impingement

Impact:HIGH

Expected return: Re-evaluated in 48 hours

BOS Injuries (0)

No injuries

All Props (40)

PlayerTypeLineProjectionLeanConfidence
Devon HarrisBlocks0.51.2OVER79Strong
Devin MarshallSteals0.51.1OVER76Strong
Jaylen CarterBlocks0.50.8UNDER69Moderate
Troy Watkins3-Pointers Made1.51.8OVER67Moderate
Jaylen Carter3-Pointers Made2.52.8OVER66Moderate
Troy WatkinsRebounds2.53OVER65Moderate
Jaylen CarterPoints26.527.4OVER60Moderate
Troy WatkinsPoints1313.7OVER59Weak
Devon HarrisPoints22.521.9UNDER58Weak
Devin MarshallPoints2625.2UNDER57Weak
Devin MarshallRebounds44.5OVER57Weak
Marcus ColePoints + Rebounds3534.4UNDER57Weak
Devon HarrisPoints + Assists26.525.8UNDER57Weak
Troy WatkinsSteals1.51.6UNDER57Weak
Jaylen CarterRebounds6.57OVER56Weak
Marcus ColeAssists6.56.3UNDER56Weak
Marcus ColePoints + Rebounds + Assists4240.9UNDER56Weak
Devon HarrisRebounds9.59.7OVER56Weak
Andre MitchellPoints1414.4OVER55Weak
Andre MitchellRebounds11.510.5UNDER55Weak
Marcus ColePoints2928.1UNDER55Weak
Marcus ColePoints + Assists35.535.6OVER55Weak
Jaylen CarterPoints + Rebounds3434.5OVER54Weak
Jaylen CarterPoints + Rebounds + Assists40.539.6UNDER54Weak
Devin MarshallAssists5.55.8UNDER54Weak
Marcus ColeRebounds4.55.1OVER54Weak
Devin MarshallPoints + Rebounds29.530.3OVER53Weak
Troy WatkinsAssists8.57.7UNDER53Weak
Jaylen CarterSteals11.2UNDER52Weak
Devin MarshallPoints + Assists3231.6UNDER50Weak
Devon HarrisAssists32.9UNDER50Weak
Devon HarrisPoints + Rebounds32.532.9OVER50Weak
Andre MitchellAssists32.5UNDER49Weak
Jaylen CarterPoints + Assists3332.5UNDER48Weak
Marcus Cole3-Pointers Made43.4UNDER45Weak
Jaylen CarterAssists65.1UNDER43Weak
Andre MitchellBlocks22UNDER43Weak
Devin Marshall3-Pointers Made54UNDER42Weak
Marcus ColeSteals21.4UNDER41Weak
Devon Harris3-Pointers Made1.51OVER40Weak
Den of the Wolves

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